Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.580090 3.079612 3.624282 4.259092 4.975356 5.755255 6.665316
2026-02-08 1.799905 2.430509 3.180596 4.125689 5.271176 6.601073 8.247446
2026-02-15 1.298918 1.981274 2.863468 4.056960 5.596806 7.483472 9.933838
2026-02-22 1.030749 1.760513 2.777638 4.240748 6.228971 8.772697 12.202539
2026-03-01 0.779882 1.500640 2.585522 4.243007 6.608973 9.759135 14.152365
2026-03-08 0.540644 1.192466 2.260927 4.001185 6.613937 10.233914 15.451289
2026-03-15 0.381832 0.969355 2.017620 3.832143 6.685834 10.783058 16.861214
2026-03-22 0.320081 0.907054 2.023750 4.044445 7.328670 12.162058 19.474935
2026-03-29 0.283272 0.884436 2.092841 4.361817 8.149806 13.836239 22.575138
2026-04-05 0.243953 0.843662 2.119284 4.604678 8.864592 15.383343 25.552202
2026-04-12 0.191221 0.751563 2.028148 4.626175 9.216448 16.395678 27.784722
2026-04-19 0.138617 0.636426 1.865364 4.492636 9.292814 16.980286 29.397501
2026-04-26 0.099040 0.539821 1.724280 4.386571 9.415314 17.657156 31.203233
2026-05-03 0.069804 0.458222 1.597484 4.288998 9.539766 18.337417 33.035969
2026-05-10 0.049847 0.396143 1.502494 4.241749 9.746666 19.156153 35.109350
2026-05-17 0.041849 0.380212 1.524882 4.446756 10.430990 20.789367 38.513259
2026-05-24 0.030585 0.337814 1.463482 4.458213 10.748679 21.819539 40.991603
2026-05-31 0.017817 0.268181 1.300245 4.212355 10.547967 21.954847 42.033320
2026-06-07 0.010362 0.217664 1.177334 4.039666 10.471232 22.291434 43.402718
2026-06-14 0.008710 0.213821 1.212643 4.262623 11.208514 24.082493 47.213155
2026-06-21 0.008122 0.220494 1.287769 4.594142 12.185748 26.328850 51.831193
2026-06-28 0.006967 0.218808 1.331396 4.847563 13.011906 28.328820 56.083107
2026-07-05 0.004699 0.196500 1.289399 4.870422 13.353949 29.468800 58.922495